Individual player props demand a similar thought process to fantasy football.

Who’s likely to regress? Is there a scheme-friendly sleeper no one’s talking about? Who was unlucky last season and could be in for a turnaround?

Like clockwork, you grab your cart and shop prices. And there are five-star locks to be had, my friends. Plenty of them.

Here are theScore’s top 25 individual player prop picks for the 2018 NFL season (odds courtesy: Bovada):

Top quarterback plays

Drew Brees OVER 4,500 passing yards (-120)

The Saints saw a huge decrease in pass-play percentage (63 percent to 56 percent) from 2016 to ’17. But Mark Ingram will be absent for the first four games and Brees has two more weapons in Cameron Meredith and Tre’Quan Smith in the passing game to help him improve on his 2017 number of 4,334.

Marcus Mariota UNDER 13.5 interceptions (-110)

Mariota posted 15 interceptions in 2017 but only attempted 14 “turnover-worthy” throws, according to Pro Football Focus. How unlucky is that?

Jimmy Garoppolo UNDER 12.5 interceptions (-110)

Garoppolo doesn’t make many risky throws. In fact, he was one of the most conservative last season.

Andrew Luck OVER 27.5 touchdown passes (+110)

There’s good value here if Luck can withstand a full season after missing all of 2017. The Colts figure to play from behind on offense with a weak defense, so he’ll get his chances in both meaningful and meaningless situations.