In this two-part series, theScore MLB editors Bryan Mcwilliam and Jason Wilson identify 10 players in each league liable to be dealt this offseason and rank their likelihood of being traded – using a scale from 1 (unlikely) to 5 (extremely likely).

Dylan Bundy, Orioles

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AGE: 26
POSITION: SP
CONTRACT: 1st-year arb (FA after 2021)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 3

Bundy is a former first-round draft pick who just turned 26. In theory, a rebuilding Baltimore Orioles franchise can dangle him and get younger in the process. It gets complicated when his ineffectual 2018 enters the equation, though. In his worst season as a pro, Bundy went 8-16 with a 5.45 ERA while allowing a major-league worst 41 home runs. His pedigree will generate curiosity, but his perceived value may be at its lowest and the Orioles may choose to hold off until it can be replenished.

Jose Abreu, White Sox

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AGE: 31
POSITION: 1B
CONTRACT: 3rd-year arb (FA after 2019)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 2.5

Abreu appeared to be on the move last offseason, and the narrative likely won’t change throughout 2019 as the Chicago White Sox engage in a youth movement. Although the club is a rumored suitor for Manny Machado and Bryce Harper, which suggests a desire to nip the rebuild in the bud, Abreu has only one year left of control. Despite a down season (.798 OPS), the two-time All-Star has an incredible track record and would help almost any contender’s lineup. Both the New York Yankees and Houston Astros could use an upgrade at first base, for example.

Corey Kluber, Indians

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AGE: 32
POSITION: SP
CONTRACT: Signed through 2019 (1 yr/$17M + 2020-21 options)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 4

When word surfaced that Cleveland would entertain offers for the two-time Cy Young winner, it came as a shock – he’s as much a face of the franchise as Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez. But, after coming up short in consecutive postseasons following a World Series appearance, the club may be looking to be proactive. Dealing Kluber now would ensure the best possible return. There’s no guarantee he remains an elite starter into his mid-30s, but his track record over the last five seasons should warrant a big haul in a trade.

Carlos Carrasco, Indians

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AGE: 31
POSITION: SP
CONTRACT: Signed through 2019 (1 yr/$9.75M + 2020 option)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 4

Carrasco’s trade factor is dependent on what happens with Kluber, and vice-versa. It’s almost a certainty that one of them gets moved, and it’s very unlikely both do. Carrasco doesn’t have the same pedigree of his teammate, but he’s been almost as good despite the lack of accolades. Since 2014, Carrasco is 68-43 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.09 WHIP while recording 963 strikeouts in 856 innings. He’s never been an All-Star, and if his price tag is lower than Kluber’s, he could be a steal.

Nicholas Castellanos, Tigers

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AGE: 26
POSITION: 3B/RF
CONTRACT: 3rd-year arb (FA after 2019)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 5

The Tigers have to trade Castellanos amidst a depressing rebuild for the franchise. Castellanos has come into his own as a hitter and is coming off his best season in the pros where he hit .298/.354/.854 with 23 home runs and 46 doubles. He’s a year removed from playing third base, but that doesn’t mean a return to the hot corner is prohibitive. While not a superstar, Castellanos is still a viable option to produce in the middle of a contender’s lineup.

Whit Merrifield, Royals

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AGE: 29
POSITION: 2B/OF
CONTRACT: Pre-arb (FA after 2022)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 2.5

If Merrifield were a couple years younger, he would fit perfectly into the Royals’ future plans. But, he never got a crack at the majors until his late-20s, and that could age him out of Kansas City’s rebuild. Now, that doesn’t mean they’ll sell low. He led the majors with 45 stolen bases last season while hitting .304 in 158 games, has a little pop in his bat, and is under team control for several years. Merrifield is the perfect top-of-the-order hitter for a contender looking to get over the hump.

Danny Duffy, Royals

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AGE: 29
POSITION: SP
CONTRACT: Signed through 2021 (3 yr/$46M)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 3

Although Duffy’s 2018 ended prematurely due to a shoulder injury in September, he never really found a groove on the mound: the southpaw hurler went 8-12 with a 4.88 ERA. Similar to Bundy in Baltimore, Duffy’s value isn’t all that high, but he’s not far removed from a more successful period. In 2016-17, he went 21-13 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. He couldn’t find the strike zone in 2018, which may prove to be an anomaly.

Robinson Cano, Mariners

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AGE: 36
POSITION: 2B
CONTRACT: Signed through 2023 (5 yr/$120M)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 3.5

The only thing keeping Cano in the Pacific Northwest at the moment is his lofty contract and no-trade clause. That’s a lot of cheddar for a player who will be 40 years old for the final year of the deal. The Mariners are in the process of cleaning house and have made it no secret they aim to trade the second baseman. The trouble will be finding a willing taker who won’t force GM Jerry Dipoto to eat a large portion of the contract.

Jean Segura, Mariners

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AGE: 28
POSITION: 2B/SS
CONTRACT: Signed through 2022 (4 yr/$57M + 2023 option)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 4

Segura is Seattle’s top trade chip coming off another productive season, making the tail end of his Milwaukee Brewers days seem like the exception instead of the rule. Since 2016, he’s hit .308/.353/.449 with 41 home runs, 100 doubles, and 75 stolen bases while serving as a reliable defensive infielder up the middle. He seems like the ideal candidate to hold onto during a rebuild, but he would theoretically bring in the best return as his contract is more team-friendly than his counterpart in Cano. He’s already been linked to the San Diego Padres in a deal involving Wil Myers, but surely other teams will be in the sweepstakes. Assuming Dipoto is serious about moving him, the only thing that could ultimately stand in his way is Segura’s no-trade clause (a theme among many Mariners players).

Marcus Stroman, Blue Jays

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AGE: 27
POSITION: SP
CONTRACT: 2nd-year arb (FA after 2020)
TRADE FACTOR (1-5): 2

The Blue Jays don’t seem eager to move their ace right-hander, apparently rebuffing the Cincinnati Reds’ advances earlier this offseason. There is good reason to be reluctant, too, as he’s coming off an injury-plagued and generally uneven 2018 (5.54 ERA over 102 1/3 innings) after hitting the 200-inning plateau in consecutive seasons beforehand. Stroman is an extreme ground-ball pitcher in an era where the strikeout is king, but it’s largely worked out for him as he’s allowed 0.81 HR/9 for his career. A trade is unlikely, but a team desperate enough to unload some top prospect talent could change Toronto’s mind.

**Contract figures courtesy of Cot’s Baseball Contracts and do not include signing bonuses or deferred money.**

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